Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.346603 0.396291 0.449498 0.510585 0.578651 0.652030 0.736985
2025-11-16 0.259062 0.325088 0.401374 0.495495 0.607923 0.737316 0.896861
2025-11-23 0.196672 0.269802 0.360580 0.480272 0.632503 0.818113 1.059799
2025-11-30 0.158373 0.236172 0.339367 0.483853 0.678123 0.927172 1.266931
2025-12-07 0.125409 0.202917 0.312520 0.474949 0.704911 1.013528 1.452564
2025-12-14 0.103054 0.180065 0.295637 0.476031 0.743522 1.117314 1.668841
2025-12-21 0.083409 0.157269 0.274757 0.467514 0.766128 1.199451 1.860699
2025-12-28 0.073094 0.147425 0.271833 0.484886 0.827427 1.340439 2.145434
2026-01-04 0.064334 0.138448 0.268648 0.500776 0.887039 1.482510 2.440851
2026-01-11 0.055089 0.126671 0.258729 0.503798 0.925627 1.594506 2.697619
2026-01-18 0.047091 0.115620 0.248250 0.504092 0.958908 1.699540 2.949276
2026-01-25 0.040101 0.105128 0.237079 0.501397 0.986122 1.795759 3.191884
2026-02-01 0.034172 0.095789 0.226936 0.499707 1.015494 1.898632 3.453834
2026-02-08 0.029380 0.087974 0.218632 0.500389 1.048921 2.010334 3.737006
2026-02-15 0.024813 0.079600 0.207778 0.494552 1.069481 2.100952 3.989943
2026-02-22 0.022035 0.075153 0.204781 0.504212 1.119847 2.246532 4.344271
2026-03-01 0.018699 0.068309 0.195174 0.498655 1.139918 2.338897 4.611051
2026-03-08 0.016355 0.063689 0.190045 0.502062 1.177775 2.465530 4.944495
2026-03-15 0.013820 0.057742 0.180603 0.494536 1.192449 2.549665 5.205806
2026-03-22 0.012785 0.056363 0.182643 0.513649 1.263931 2.744835 5.678243
2026-03-29 0.011769 0.054775 0.183868 0.530903 1.332660 2.938320 6.156445
2026-04-05 0.010374 0.051410 0.179658 0.534430 1.371827 3.076330 6.537546
2026-04-12 0.009064 0.047931 0.174511 0.534955 1.404243 3.202557 6.902010